AR6 and Sea Level, Part 3, A Statistically Valid Forecast

By Andy May In Part 1 of this series, we examined the data and analysis that was presented in AR6 to support their conclusion that sea level rise is accelerating. In Part 2 we looked at a serious examination of the observational record for sea level rise over the past 120 years and the modeledContinue reading “AR6 and Sea Level, Part 3, A Statistically Valid Forecast”

AR6 and Sea Level, Part 2: The complexity of measuring GMSL

By Andy May Thomas Frederikse and colleagues published a study of sea level data, considering both tide gauges and satellite data in 2020 (Frederikse, et al., 2020). This paper is frequently cited in the Chapter 9 AR6 sea level discussion. They found that there are many causes of global and regional sea level change thatContinue reading “AR6 and Sea Level, Part 2: The complexity of measuring GMSL”

AR6 and Sea Level Rise, Part 1

By Andy May This is the first of a three-part series on the IPCC’s discussion of sea level rise in their latest report, AR6 (IPCC, 2021). The report claims that the rate of sea level rise is accelerating. It is fair to ask why they think this, what evidence do they offer?

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